Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.025609 0.027548 0.029572 0.031845 0.034328 0.036962 0.039973
2025-01-26 0.022452 0.025214 0.028248 0.031839 0.035986 0.040642 0.046287
2025-02-02 0.020555 0.023846 0.027602 0.032231 0.037814 0.044369 0.052709
2025-02-09 0.018792 0.022363 0.026567 0.031920 0.038605 0.046751 0.057533
2025-02-16 0.017469 0.021244 0.025804 0.031774 0.039463 0.049138 0.062407
2025-02-23 0.016323 0.020225 0.025047 0.031517 0.040075 0.051162 0.066861
2025-03-02 0.015445 0.019464 0.024535 0.031492 0.040927 0.053483 0.071805
2025-03-09 0.014513 0.018563 0.023767 0.031050 0.041148 0.054914 0.075557
2025-03-16 0.013629 0.017667 0.022940 0.030453 0.041083 0.055900 0.078687
2025-03-23 0.012951 0.017003 0.022377 0.030167 0.041407 0.057415 0.082650
2025-03-30 0.012341 0.016394 0.021850 0.029887 0.041699 0.058870 0.086587
2025-04-06 0.011664 0.015658 0.021103 0.029241 0.041402 0.059409 0.089106
2025-04-13 0.011331 0.015390 0.021005 0.029536 0.042523 0.062166 0.095371
2025-04-20 0.010917 0.014987 0.020692 0.029491 0.043121 0.064142 0.100510
2025-04-27 0.010650 0.014780 0.020649 0.029840 0.044333 0.067145 0.107574
2025-05-04 0.010223 0.014320 0.020209 0.029554 0.044519 0.068493 0.111890
2025-05-11 0.009867 0.013948 0.019882 0.029421 0.044933 0.070223 0.116986
2025-05-18 0.009508 0.013556 0.019505 0.029186 0.045157 0.071638 0.121604
2025-05-25 0.009227 0.013268 0.019271 0.029163 0.045724 0.073655 0.127471
2025-06-01 0.008868 0.012849 0.018817 0.028760 0.045622 0.074497 0.131173
2025-06-08 0.008497 0.012396 0.018293 0.028215 0.045246 0.074822 0.133893
2025-06-15 0.008213 0.012068 0.017950 0.027954 0.045341 0.075987 0.138336
2025-06-22 0.007946 0.011756 0.017622 0.027698 0.045428 0.077134 0.142820